Trading Risk Simulator | Monte Carlo Portfolio Visualizer

Trading Risk Simulator | Monte Carlo Portfolio Visualizer

This tool helps you visualize the long-term reality of a trading strategy. Instead of predicting a single “lucky” or “unlucky” outcome, this simulator creates 1,000 alternate realities (Monte Carlo simulations) based on the rules you set. Adjust your win rate, risk per trade, and market conditions on the left. The charts and metrics below will instantly update to reveal the probable range of your potential profits, as well as your risk of facing severe losing streaks.

Parameters

Gross Exposure: 10.0%

Time Horizon: 25 Years, 0 Months

Probability of Max Drawdown Exceeding 50%:
0.0%
Metric
High (99th %ile)
Median (50th %ile)
Low (1st %ile)
CAGR
Max Drawdown
MAR Ratio
Disclaimer: This simulator is intended strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. It does not constitute financial or investment advice. Theoretical simulations and past performance do not guarantee future results. Real-world trading involves significant risks—including slippage, liquidity constraints, and unforeseen market events—that may not be fully captured by this mathematical model. Never invest money you cannot afford to lose.